Arkansas Poll Finds Economy Remains Top Concern for Arkansas Voters
The 2021 poll also addressed approval ratings for public figures as well as positions on current issues, such as gun control, abortion, climate change and the death penalty. Additional questions addressed political party affiliation and ideology, life in Arkansas during COVID and opinions about female politicians.
While the top three concerns of Arkansas voters were unchanged from the previous year, the acuity of concern, as measured by total number of people expressing concern, declined. A similar percentage of respondents were concerned about the economy in both 2020 and 2021, 23% and 22% respectively, but concern about healthcare fell 11 points from 2020 to 2021, and concerns about politics also fell 11 points over the same period. The number of respondents whose answers fell into the “other/don’t know/refused” category grew from 4% in 2020 to 45% this year, reflecting the more open-ended questions they were asked.
“Most of the movement in our ‘top issues’ responses is attributable to the alternating way we ask the question,” said Janine Parry, director of the Arkansas Poll and professor of political science at the University of Arkansas. “This year, as in all odd-numbered years, it was truly open-ended. That means that while it’s easy to lump together answers like ‘good jobs’ and ‘wages’ into a broad category like ‘the economy,’ a response like ‘vaccines’ is not as clearly lumped together with ‘prescription costs’ into ‘healthcare.’ The bottom line is that Arkansans — like Americans — nearly always direct our attention to the same 3 or 4 things: economics, healthcare, education and, lately, their frustration with politics.”
Other notable one-year shifts occurred in the “Life in Arkansas” section of the poll:
Do you feel Arkansas is headed in the right or wrong direction?
Right: 61% (down 16 points from 2020)
Wrong: 28% (up 8 points)
Other: 12%
Are you financially better/worse/same compared to last year?
Better: 22% (down 12 points from 2020)
Same: 47%
Worse: 29% (up 9 points)
Other: 4%
A year from now, will you be better/worse/same financially?
Better: 21% (down 13 points from 2020)
Same: 45%
Worse: 27% (up 21 points)
Other: 8%
To make sense of this increased pessimism, Parry said, “It could be a hangover from the pandemic slowdown, but that is hard to fathom in light of Arkansas’ low unemployment rate. I suspect these dips reflect instead our current political climate: negative polarization compounded by hyper nationalization. Nothing seems to matter except that the other team occupies the White House, a phenomenon that likely affected blue-state voters during the Trump years.”
Finally, 69% of voters also indicated that they knew someone who had been hospitalized or died as a result of COVID-19. But when asked whether they were in favor of mask mandates in a range of locations, 61% favored such a requirement on an airplane, the highest percentage, while 42% favored it as a condition of entering a restaurant, the lowest percentage. The majority of respondents were also opposed to having to show proof of vaccination at sporting events or concerts (55% opposed), inside restaurants (60% opposed), and inside stores and businesses (61% opposed).
The poll was conducted through 800 telephone interviews with randomly selected adult Arkansans between Oct. 12 and Oct. 24. It has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percent.
The full 2021 Arkansas Poll Summary Report, protocols and historic outcomes can be found at the Arkansas Poll web page.